Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.178564 0.208585 0.241549 0.280356 0.324711 0.373743 0.431969
2025-10-26 0.127061 0.167209 0.216080 0.279576 0.359476 0.456234 0.581775
2025-11-02 0.098542 0.141899 0.198902 0.278523 0.385905 0.524615 0.716059
2025-11-09 0.078652 0.122253 0.183413 0.274125 0.403602 0.579798 0.835266
2025-11-16 0.064339 0.107074 0.170563 0.269813 0.418600 0.630313 0.950379
2025-11-23 0.052222 0.092675 0.156082 0.260136 0.423278 0.664980 1.044357
2025-11-30 0.047878 0.089697 0.158252 0.275382 0.465920 0.757660 1.229696
2025-12-07 0.040080 0.079478 0.147158 0.267707 0.471353 0.793773 1.331704
2025-12-14 0.033603 0.070412 0.136559 0.259157 0.473806 0.824512 1.426655
2025-12-21 0.028640 0.063264 0.128206 0.253174 0.479417 0.860033 1.531070
2025-12-28 0.025797 0.059754 0.125934 0.257590 0.503074 0.926766 1.691175
2026-01-04 0.023932 0.057918 0.126526 0.267220 0.536660 1.012554 1.889095
2026-01-11 0.021743 0.055104 0.124978 0.272861 0.563999 1.090555 2.081161
2026-01-18 0.019506 0.051811 0.122037 0.275452 0.585918 1.160800 2.265182
2026-01-25 0.017287 0.048139 0.117753 0.274700 0.601077 1.219558 2.432260
2026-02-01 0.015101 0.044124 0.112128 0.270382 0.608550 1.264272 2.576301
2026-02-08 0.013219 0.040507 0.106862 0.266125 0.615551 1.308297 2.721646
2026-02-15 0.011273 0.036321 0.099635 0.256568 0.610394 1.328033 2.821625
2026-02-22 0.010936 0.036523 0.103017 0.271625 0.659152 1.457813 3.143341
2026-03-01 0.009465 0.033166 0.097064 0.264045 0.657654 1.486024 3.266316
2026-03-08 0.008152 0.029987 0.091076 0.255600 0.653286 1.507760 3.377353
2026-03-15 0.007116 0.027439 0.086362 0.249692 0.654039 1.540041 3.511655
2026-03-22 0.006587 0.026433 0.085718 0.254053 0.679150 1.625863 3.762135